In a Vox.eu column, I am suggesting, based on my recent work on business cycles, that there is good reason to expect a US recession in the next two years.
I posted on my “current work” and “publication” page the last revision of a paper with Paul Beaudry, Patrick Fève and Alain Guay “When is nonfundamentalness in SVARs a real problem?” . That work is forthcoming in the Review of Economic Dynamics. As written in the abstract, In SVARs, identification of structural shocks can be …
I posted on my “current work” page a new paper with Paul Beaudry “Duration Dependence in US Expansions: A re-examination of the evidence” (CEPR Discussion Paper 13626). As written in the abstract, It is commonly accepted that economic expansions do not exhibit duration dependence, that is, the probability of an expansion terminating in the near …
I have attended the Royal Economic Society Annual Conference in Warwick. The program chair and deputy chair were my colleagues Fabien Postel-Vinay and Terri Kneeland. I presented my joint work with Paul Beaudry and Chenyu Hou “Real Keynesian Models and Sticky Prices”. The slides of my presentation are here.
I have posted updated lecture 5 slides, partial solutions to Homeworks 3 and 4 and class notes for the hyperinflation lecture.
I visited the Econ department of the University of Birmingham on March 27. it was a great opportunity to meet and talk with John Fender, Christoph Görtz, Rebecca McDonald and Kaushik Mitra. I presented my joint work with Paul Beaudry and Chenyu Hou “Real Keynesian Models and Sticky Prices”. The slides of my presentation are here.
Last Monday, I attended a small progress workshop in Warwick, where I presented the the first results of your new research with Dana Galizia and Paul Beaudry, on fluctuations in macroeconomics as emergent phenomena. You can have a look at the slides I used here.
I have posted updated lecture 5 slides.
I have posted partial solution for problem sets 1 and 2, together with last year exam solution.
I have posted the class notes for lecture 4 on Easter Island economics.
I have posted the slides of Lecture 5 on Hyperinflation.
I have posted lecture 3 class notes (session 6).
I have posted updated lecture 2 slides.
I am very happy to be with Michèle Tertilt and Romain Wacziarg a keynote speaker at the ADRES doctoral conference that is organised by AMSE in Marseille (Special thanks to Frédéric Dufourt). I will present my joint work with Paul Beaudry and Dana Galizia on business cycles. To quote the organizers, “The conference aims at …
I have posted the slides of Lecture 3 and problem sets 2 to 4.